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Abstract
Objective To assess the risk of subsequent stroke among older patients discharged from an emergency department (ED) without a diagnosis of TIA or stroke.
Methods Using electronic health record data from a large urban, university hospital and a community-based hospital, we analyzed patients aged 60–89 years discharged to home from the ED without an International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems, 9th or 10th Revision diagnosis of TIA or stroke. Based on the presence/absence of a head CT and the presence/absence of a chief complaint suggestive of TIA or stroke (“symptoms”) during the index ED visit, we created 4 mutually exclusive groups (group 1, reference: head CT no, symptoms no; group 2: head CT no, symptoms yes; group 3: head CT yes, symptoms no; and group 4: head CT yes, symptoms yes). We calculated rates of stroke in the 30, 90, and 365 days after the index visit and used multivariable logistic regression to estimate odds ratios (ORs) for subsequent stroke.
Results Among 35,622 patients (mean age 70 years, 59% women, and 16% African American), unadjusted rates of stroke in 365 days were as follows: group 4: 2.5%; group 3: 1.1%; group 2: 0.69%; and group 1: 0.54%. The adjusted OR for stroke was 3.30 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.61–6.76) in group 4, 1.56 (95% CI, 1.16–2.09) in group 3, and 0.61 (95% CI, 0.22–1.67) in group 2.
Conclusions Among patients discharged from the ED without a diagnosis of TIA or stroke, the occurrence of a head CT and/or specific neurologic symptoms established a clinically meaningful risk gradient for subsequent stroke.
Footnotes
Funding information and disclosures are provided at the end of the article. Full disclosure form information provided by the authors is available with the full text of this article at Neurology.org/cp.
- Received November 6, 2018.
- Accepted March 22, 2019.
- © 2019 American Academy of Neurology
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